The latest outlook on El Niño—the warm phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (aka “ENSO”) climate pattern—gives a greater than 95% chance that it will continue through the winter. At this event's peak this winter, there is approximately a 2 in 3 chance that the Oceanic Niño Index will match or exceed 1.5 °C, the informal threshold for a “strong” El Niño event. Learn more about the forecast and what El Niño could mean for global temperatures at the ENSO Blog. https://www.climate.gov/news-feat

El Niño Update: Signs of change, as sea surface temperatures are lowering in eastern Pacific. That means El Niño has been weakening. The current Climate Prediction Center outlook indicates a likely transition to neutral conditions soon and higher odds of La Niña by the end of summer. What does that mean? Well, a La Niña heading into winter can signal the potential for harsher winter weather in our part of the world. There are always many factors at play, but it's something to keep an eye on. Sta