Nomura’s pioneering paper reveals that the risk of volatility targeting indices is systematically higher than the target level they are designed to maintain ...
Nomura economists see more rate hikes, but well below consensus as policy rates are near or above neutral US growth remains robust. We expect the Fed to deliver another hike in December. We see ...
Inflationary pressure from high crude oil and naphtha prices has begun to ease in the upstream supply chain, but price increases continue midstream and downstream. Our outlook for CPI inflation ...