Bettors spent more than $40 million gambling on the outcome of the most recent papal conclave, on prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket.

Leo is the first pope with a pre-papal social media presence, which helps paint an early picture of his positions on various ...

While they’ve had some successes — notably, they bested traditional polls at predicting Donald Trump’s 2024 election win — the market for betting on the next pope was blindsided by the conclave’s ...

The event throws into question the perceived heightened accuracy of betting markets like Poymarket over conventional polls.

Robert Prevost was a 100-1 long shot at UK sportsbooks last week to be the first American pope and successor to the late Pope ...

It took only two days of voting for the College of Cardinals to elect a new pope—a scenario prediction markets, in the days ...

The Vatican elected a new pope on Thursday, but not before prediction markets briefly went haywire between the white smoke ...

By Thursday morning, crypto betting site Polymarket handled nearly $26 million worth of wagers on the event. Prediction ...

Cardinals have elected a new pope who will appear on the Vatican balcony soon and be named—watch our live stream.

It turns out the crypto betting market that was credited by many for its prescience in the last US presidential election ...

Cardinal Robert Prevost defied global betting markets to become the first U.S.-born pope, stunning gamblers and reshaping ...

One prophetic propositioner pocketed $52,641 in profit off of a $525 papal prediction, according to a Kalshi post on X.