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El Nino, Nature’s chaotic climate agent, has formed in a warmed-up Pacific Ocean and is expected to grow to historic strength, meteorologists announced Thursday.

NOAA officially declared El Niño on Thursday and says the climate pattern has a 63% chance of reaching "very strong" status by fall, potentially shaping U.S. weather through harvest and winter.

El Niño does not guarantee that it will happen. It just opens the door.