The US Bureau of Economic Analysis estimated that real GDP contracted at an annualized rate of 0.3 percent in Q1 2025, the first negative reading since Q1 2022. The April 29 GDPNow nowcasts were well ...

Are professional economists truly objective when forecasting economic projections? New research from Wake Forest University suggests otherwise, revealing a subtle yet powerful influence of political ...

The climbing limo method of forecasting future GDP in the US projects the nation's economic output in the recently finished Q1 2026 will be around $31.5 trillion. Read more here.

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Markets Rose Modestly Despite Weak GDP And Tariff Concerns Starbucks Slumps, Caterpillar Gains On Mixed Earnings And Outlook ...

The economy contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter, according to the official report on Gross Domestic Product. Widespread worry about consumers and businesses postponing purchases and hiring ...

The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow forecasting model has done a complete 180 over the past two months. Uncertainty regarding President Trump's tariff policy, coupled with the third highest valuation premium for ...

Never miss an episode. Follow The Big Take daily podcast today. The International Monetary Fund released a forecast this week projecting that global GDP will grow just 2.8% — down half a percentage ...

ATLANTA — A model utilized by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta updated Monday to forecast an even steeper economic contraction, after first showing negative growth in its update last Friday. The ...

The field of economic models and forecasting encompasses the development and application of theoretical, empirical and computational frameworks to predict future economic outcomes. These models range ...

FRANKFURT (Reuters) -A ChatGPT analysis of qualitative commentary in PMI releases can significantly improve GDP forecasting, a paper published by the European Central Bank of Thursday showed. The ECB ...