Prediction markets can be more accurate than polling when it comes to elections, a professor told Business Insider. There's over $606 million wagered on the 2024 election on Polymarket, favoring a ...

Despite recent polls giving former President Donald Trump an edge in the 2024 presidential election, American University professor Dr. Allan Lichtman is standing by his prediction that Vice President ...

A historian and election forecaster who has successfully predicted the last nine out of 10 presidential elections is sticking by his forecast. Democratic nominee Kamala Harris will beat Republican ...

Thiel predicted in September that the 2024 election was "not going to be close" as he declined to spend money to help elect ...

WASHINGTON - Allan Lichtman, the historian who correctly predicted the outcome of 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, has made his guess on who will reclaim the White House this year.

SAN FRANCISCO — Mike Franz was prepared for a long and chaotic Tuesday night. Printouts listing poll-closing times for different states were taped above his computer. His wife brought sandwiches and ...