The event throws into question the perceived heightened accuracy of betting markets like Poymarket over conventional polls.

Italy’s Pietro Parolin leads odds on the Polymarket and Kalshi betting platforms, while Luis Antonio Tagle of the Philippines ...

This week, the ascension of the first American pope surprised many, including the theoretically neutral online betting sites ...

A handful of bettors scored massive payouts upon the selection of the new leader of the Catholic Church, Robert Francis ...

Off Base Polymarket, the crypto-based prediction market where users can place bets on events ranging from national elections ...

You could have made a lot of money by betting against the conventional conclave wisdom. Why it matters: Prediction markets ...

The centuries-old tradition of wagering on papal elections was in full swing on Day 1 of the conclave. As black smoke emerged ...

Online betting-prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi started taking bets on who will succeed Pope Francis within hours of his April 21 death, raking in a combined $17 million and ...

Betting markets and papal forecasters were wildly off in conclave predictions, with only a few gamblers pulling down big ...

Leo is the first pope with a pre-papal social media presence, which helps paint an early picture of his positions on various ...

It turns out the crypto betting market that was credited by many for its prescience in the last US presidential election ...