Goldman Sachs, Trump and recession
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Analysts pointed to several factors that have raised the risk of more downside.
From Insider
Wall Street surged after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause in tariffs he announced last week.
From Reuters
U.S. stocks rocketed higher Wednesday after President Trump announced that he had authorized a 90-day pause on certain tariffs to most countries.
From Wall Street Journal
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Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists rescinded their forecast for a US recession after President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on most of his previously announced tariffs, though analysts still see policy uncertainty leading to a sharp economic slowdown this year.
Goldman lowered its recession call Wednesday just an hour after raising the chance in a note, as the trade war saga sparked whiplash on Wall Street.
The US economy faces a growing risk of a recession as surging tariffs threaten to stunt growth, reignite inflation and lift unemployment, according to Goldman Sachs.
President Donald Trump’s trade war has thrown the oil market into deep uncertainty, triggering wild swings in crude prices, undermining investor confidence and jeopardizing domestic production.
Goldman Sachs has raised its 12-month recession probability from 35% to 45%, but that is set to rise further if the tariffs start this week.
6don MSN
Blankfein urged Trump to delay imposition of reciprocal tariffs by six months in order to give countries time to negotiate better trade deals with the United States.
U.S. investment bank Goldman Sachs said bond pricing inferred that markets believed there was 70% probability of a Ukraine peace deal, up sharply from before the November election of U.S. President Donald Trump.